Ohio2006 Blog

News, analysis, and comments on Ohio elections.

Wednesday, October 4

Sen: Brown (D) Up By 8 in New Rasmussen Poll

Buckeye State Blog and Hypothetically Speaking are reporting that a new Rasmussen poll to be released tomorrow gives Rep. Sherrod Brown (D-Avon) an eight point lead over Sen. Mike DeWine (R-Cedarville), up a few points since last month:

49% Brown (D)
41% DeWine (R)

That's awfully close to the all-important 50% level for Brown.

UPDATE: A Zogby/Reuters poll released the day after the Rasmussen poll shows the race tied at 41% each.

2nd UPDATE: Here's more information on the Zogby poll. It was conducted from September 25 to October 2 (before Foley's resignation) and involved 601 likely voters, with a margin of error of 4.1 points.

The poll oversampled Republicans: 35% Dem, 40% Rep, 25% Ind/Other. Party registration and election forecasts in Ohio show Democrats and Republicans roughly equal.

This is the 17th straight public poll where DeWine has not shown a lead. The last time DeWine was ahead was in a June 20 Rasmussen survey (see above for latest Rasmussen numbers).

DeWine's job approval/disapproval is at 50%/38% (Brown is at 43%/20%), but DeWine's "re-elect" numbers are very bad:
Does DeWine Deserve Re-Election?
Yes, re-elect 31%
No, someone new 53%

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