Ohio2006 Blog

News, analysis, and comments on Ohio elections.

Friday, May 12

Gov & US Sen: Strickland (D) and Brown (D) Lead in New Rasmussen Poll

New numbers about to be released by Rasmussen show a wide lead for Rep. Ted Strickland (D-Lisbon) over Secretary of State Ken Blackwell (R-Cincinnati) in the gubernatorial race and a small (statistically insignificant) lead for Rep. Sherrod Brown (D-Avon) over Sen. Mike Dewine (R-Cedarville) in the U.S. Senate race (4.5% margin of error):

52% Strickland
36% Blackwell
6% Some other candidate
10% Not sure

44% Brown
41% DeWine
6% Some other candidate
10% Not sure

4 Comments:

At 4:46 PM, Blogger Pauli said...

I'm not a political strategist. But it seems to me like if the 2004 voters come out to vote, Blackwell will win. I think Blackwell's challenge is just one of education and charisma. Dismiss the "Taftwell" fallacy which should be easy then give speeches with the kind of charismatic abandon that his current supporters know and love.

 
At 11:50 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Pauli.

Good idea. What with Bush being so popular and all.

Taftwell will be lucky to get 30% he is way outside of the mainstream for Ohioans to swallow.

 
At 12:12 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Paul, you seem to be forgetting the fact that W is NOWHERE near as popular as he was in 2004. in fact, a number of Ohioans have experienced buyer's remorse. Furthermore, i doubt Ken's going to get much love from the state GOP, and given his erratic behavior regarding the TEL amendment, he may sink his own ship. Plus, Ken's only real stronghold is in Hamilton Co. while ted has a substantial following in SE Ohio, the area Ken HAS to win in order to win statewide.

 
At 2:52 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wow, those numbers look promising, but I hope it's not 'too-early' mo.

 

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