Ohio2006 Blog

News, analysis, and comments on Ohio elections.

Thursday, October 12

Sen: Brown (D) Pulls Away in Survey-USA Poll

A new poll by SurveyUSA, commissioned by WKYC-3 TV in Cleveland, shows Rep. Sherrod Brown (D-Avon) increasing his lead over Sen. Mike DeWine (R-Cedarville) to 14 points, an increase of four points over last month's poll:

54% Brown (D)
40% DeWine (R)
6% Other/Undecided

Asked of 515 likely voters, margin of error 4.4 points.

Other interesting findings:
Male voters still prefer Brown by 1 point, but Brown's lead among women has grown from 19 points to 26 points in the last 3 weeks.

DeWine holds 83% of his Republican base. Brown holds 90% of his Democrat base.

Brown leads by 22 points among Independents.

Among Moderates, Democrat Brown leads by 45 points, up from a 31-point lead with this group last month.

DeWine wins 3:2 in Western OH. Brown wins 2:1 in Central and Eastern OH.

5 Comments:

At 12:33 PM, Anonymous Ambercat said...

Doesn't it seem like polls this year are more unstable, confused and contradictory than ever? I'm still trying to digest why the Bliss poll shows Sandy O'Brien and Rich Cordray virtually tied, while Greg Hartmann and Mary Taylor have dramatically lower support than O'Brien despite raising some actual money and running actual campaigns. Other than every poll showing that Blackwell is nice, cripsy toast, the results seem all over the map — and there seems to be greater than usual instability in other states, too.

 
At 12:33 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Great news.

The democrats are all set push all the Ohio rethugs down the filthy gutter created by the very same rethugs.

DeWHine is a real hypocrite who talks about national security after missing the most important meetings of Senate Intel Cmtt. These rethugs have no morals or principles.

BTW, this SurveyUSA poll clearly shows how crappy the Bliss Institute poll was.

 
At 12:33 PM, Anonymous Ambercat said...

Doesn't it seem like polls this year are more unstable, confused and contradictory than ever? I'm still trying to digest why the Bliss poll shows Sandy O'Brien and Rich Cordray virtually tied, while Greg Hartmann and Mary Taylor have dramatically lower support than O'Brien despite raising some actual money and running actual campaigns. Other than every poll showing that Blackwell is nice, crispy toast, the results seem all over the map — and there seems to be greater than usual instability in other states, too.

 
At 1:37 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Bliss poll may not be very accurate in part because it was conducted over about 6 weeks (from Aug. 20 on I think) and because it polled high-income folks more heavily than it should have.

Blackwell is toast, yes, and DeWine will be toast too, assuming that the national GOP continues to slide and also assuming that Brown is able to capitalize on DeWine's failures on the intelligence committee. DeWine will have lots of money to spend from the RNC, though, so it will get ugly from here on out.

 
At 11:32 PM, Anonymous Canton Veteran and dissed voter said...

This news is heartening to me. I have posted several times to The Democratic Daily http://www.thedemocraticdaily.com/
because I have some serious issues with the V.A. and over a year ago tried to contact Mike DeWhine. Mr. Dewhine not only ignored me but ignored my state senator, Mr. Oelslager who, I'd like to add, wrote Mr. DeWhine's attention TWICE in my behalf AND Mr. Oelslager himself is Republican. I don't know how much more of a case of taxation without representation that could be! Mr. DeWhine simply has NO TIME OR INTEREST in helping veterans so its no wonder to me that he didn't bother with the Intelligence Committee. Who cares about national security and veterans? He just wants to make money!

 

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